Pennsylvania is 6th most populous state in our Union. It’s my birth state. Is it in play in the presidential election?
If you had asked me yesterday I would’ve said probably not. PA had seemed to be solidly in the Obama camp for awhile now. And with Pennsylvania’s Northeast location I would’ve thought Obama’s handling of Sandy would have just bolstered his lead. 4 years ago, Obama commandingly won the Keystone state by a 10.4% margin of victory to gain its 21 electoral votes.
It’s 5 days until the election. 3 hours ago the CNN Headline read:
Is this a desperation hail marry attempt by Romney to get enough electoral votes to beat Obama? Or is it an opportunity for him to expand the battleground map and put Obama on his heels?
A Franklin and Marshall College poll released yesterday indicated that Obama has a 49%-45% lead in this traditionally blue state. If Obama were to win PA, and then either Florida or Ohio, his reelection campaign is sitting pretty. However, if Romney were to gather enough momentum to win PA, I think he would likely sweep up many of the remaining swing states and win.
Bottom line, I don’t think Romney’s interest in Pennsylvania is smart. I think his money and time would be better spent in Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and Colorado. I think whatever momentum and juice he has left in the tank should be focused there. Obama will now have to refocus efforts on PA, but with a post-Sandy bump I think he’ll win out.
My bold (and for purposes of this post attempted unpartisan) prediction- whoever wins Pennsylvania will win this election. Get ready for 4 more years.